Third Millennium Thinking

'A model of clear thinking, and a terrific discussion of how to use logic and evidence to solve the hardest problems. This might just be the cure for what ails us.' Cass R. Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor, Harvard University, and author of Decisions About Decisions

'If our species is to stagger through another millennium, we need to get better at thinking about how we think-and conducting high-stakes debates more intelligently. This book lays out, with superb clarity, the path forward.' Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting

'A physicist, a philosopher, and a psychologist walk into a book, and mix an inviting cocktail about how to think through big problems and make effective decisions in a Third Millennium age of overwhelming, complex, and contradictory information. A must read for anyone who needs to make expert judgments without being experts themselves.' David Dunning, Professor of Psychology at the University of Michigan and discoverer of the Dunning-Kruger Effect